Excel add-in

Monte Carlo simulation in Excel
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Primavera P6 · Microsoft Project

Cost and schedule risk analysis
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Excel add-in

Decision tree analysis in Excel
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Quantitative risk register
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Pelican IRM: integrated risk management
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Capital projects and construction QCRA and QSRA for defensible estimates, risk contingency and completion dates. Oil and gas Estimate reserves, stress-test capex and schedules, value the asset and back the right investment. Power, renewables and utilities Estimate energy yield, stress-test capex and commercial operation dates, and decide which projects and network investments to fund. Mining and metals Put ranges on grade, recovery and metal prices, and see what they mean for life-of-mine NPV and the investment case. Aerospace and defence Set programme budgets and schedules at a joint confidence level, and model reliability and through-life cost. Manufacturing Model plant capacity, Six Sigma quality and supply chains under uncertainty. Insurance and reinsurance Model loss distributions, price premiums and reinsurance, and hold capital for a 1-in-200-year loss. Corporate finance and investment Put ranges on M&A and company valuations, simulate portfolios and find the efficient frontier. Pharma and life sciences Value R&D pipelines with rNPV, and make go/no-go calls at every phase gate.
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Example modelsFree Excel models, with the results explained
Monte Carlo simulation: a simple guide
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IDW PS 340 regulations
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Top 5 risk analysis add-ins for Excel
Top 6 project risk tools
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EventsWebinars, masterclasses and summitsLive online sessions on quantitative risk analysis. See the dates and register.See the dates
Risk analysis trainingCourses in risk analysis and in our software, from first steps to masterclasses.Consulting and model auditsWe build risk models, or review yours before a critical decision or a public review.
Vose Software began as a risk analysis consultancy, and its methods build on David Vose's textbook Risk Analysis: A Quantitative Guide.
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