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In This Newsletter
Ownership change
Course: A new type of Campylobacter
in poultry risk assessment toolNew updated version of ModelRisk
Come and Meet us
Ownership change
On 1 October a share-swap agreement was signed that resulted in the change of ownership of Vose Software BVBA and Vose Consulting US. Huybert Greonendaal now owns Vose Consulting, whilst Timour Koupeev and David Vose now own Vose Software. Since David Vose is no longer involved in Vose Consulting it has been renamed EpiX Analytics.
Consulting services will remain a core component of Vose Software’s activities. Our consulting team continues to provide innovative, high quality risk analysis consulting and training worldwide.
Course: A new type of Campylobacter in poultry risk assessment tool
4 days (Jan 17 - Jan 20 , 2011).
Vose recently developed a generic quantitative risk tool to evaluate efficiently and robustly the effect of interventions proposed by the user on the risk of campylobacteriosis from broiler meat. The tool provided with this course allows the user to input surveillance data from their own country together with data on the effectiveness of current and possible future interventions and then directly review the effects of new intervention strategies. No additional model development is necessary.
The tool uses many of the same principles of previous food safety risk assessment models, but takes a completely different mathematical approach to achieve its results. This provides the ability to investigate the effect of different combinations of interventions extremely quickly and allows for a great deal of flexibility in the data that are used.
A unique feature of the tool is that it is normalized to the data most commonly available throughout the farm-to-fork continuum. It also estimates the change in the human incidence rate of campylobacteriosis, rather than the actual incidence rates before and after variations in the interventions applied. The main advantage of this approach is that the outputs are far more robust, being less sensitive to any assumptions or statistical uncertainty in parameter estimates.
The tool is no 'black box'. It is based around Microsoft Excel and comes with complete documentation and VBA code that can be reviewed and edited as necessary. The user interface allows one to review all mathematics and to add, select and remove data sets at will and otherwise edit all quantitative data within the model.
Read more about the theory and benefits of this new approach here.
New updated version of ModelRisk (3.0.1.3)
We have added a range of powerful new features to all versions of ModelRisk:
- Added functionality to the distribution viewer window that allows overlaying distributions taken from Excel ranges
- Network license improvement: added support for 2-type installations: full client installations and launch from a server.
- Added VoseBetaSubj functions (distribution, probability calculations, fitting, objects, etc..).
- Added option to set the seed in the Stochastic Optimization.
- Several other smaller enhancements.
All ModelRisk users with a current maintenance plan can upgrade to this latest version free of charge. You can always check if you have the latest version of ModelRisk by clicking "Check for updates" in the Welcome screen, or "upgrade licence" in the "About ModelRisk" section under ‘ModelRisk help’ in the ModelRisk ribbon. ModelRisk 30-day Free Trial version can be downloaded from here.
Come and meet us
In an effort to get to understand the needs of our clients current and prospective, we have started to offer informal receptions where we chat about risk analysis, meet fellow risk professionals and enjoy a drink without any sales pitches or speeches.
If you are interested in meeting us and other risk professionals, send an email to reception@vosesoftware.com so we can put your city in our calendar.